Alberta premier banks on strong economy in 2022 after tough COVID-19 year

It was a speech that symbolized Alberta’s pandemic politics in 2021: Premier Jason Kenney’s boastful, bullhorn-loud, first-out-of-the-gate victory whoop over COVID-19 preceding a crushing hospital crisis.

Read more: COVID-19: Alberta public health measures to end on July 1

In 2022, Kenney and his United Conservative government aim to forge ahead on the economy and catch up on the thousands of surgeries cancelled when hospitals were overwhelmed during the fourth wave of COVID-19 in the fall.

Click to play video: '‘I don’t apologize for the decision to relax public health restrictions in the summer’: Kenney defends COVID-19 decisions' ‘I don’t apologize for the decision to relax public health restrictions in the summer’: Kenney defends COVID-19 decisions

‘I don’t apologize for the decision to relax public health restrictions in the summer’: Kenney defends COVID-19 decisions – Sep 15, 2021

Health Minister Jason Copping said it will take some time. The goal is to catch up on the pre-pandemic surgery waiting list of 68,000 by the middle of next year.

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“That is my job No. 1 apart from the response to COVID, of course,” Copping said earlier this month, announcing that the number of cancelled surgeries had stabilized at about 81,000. “We are going to bring that waiting list down.”

Click to play video: 'Alberta health minister says surgery backlog stabilized' Alberta health minister says surgery backlog stabilized

Alberta health minister says surgery backlog stabilized – Dec 10, 2021

The wind is in the UCP’s sails, at least in the short term, with a late-year bounty of oil and gas revenues slashing the projected budget deficit by two-thirds to under $6 billion.

Read more: Alberta budget benefits from oil prices no one had bargained for

There was other good economic news.

Tech-giant Amazon Web Services announced in November it had broken ground on a $4.3-billion cloud-computing server hub in Calgary.

Alberta’s unemployment dropped below eight per cent.

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Big budget film productions leveraged tax credits to shoot in the province — including HBO’s The Last of Us — and pumped millions of dollars into local economies.

Click to play video: 'HBO’s ‘The Last of Us’ television production takes over parts of Edmonton' HBO’s ‘The Last of Us’ television production takes over parts of Edmonton

HBO’s ‘The Last of Us’ television production takes over parts of Edmonton – Oct 6, 2021

“Albertans are natural optimists. They just need a reason for their optimism. Well, there are lots of reasons right now including the fact that we are leading Canada by far in economic growth,” Kenney told the Calgary Chamber of Commerce this month.

There was a $3.8-billion deal with the federal government that will see daycare costs start to drop in January and fall to $10 a day by 2026.

Doug Schweitzer, minister for jobs, economy and innovation, announced: “This was the year that Alberta got our swagger back.”

Read more: Trudeau, Kenney promise $10-a-day child care across Alberta within next 5 years

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Kenney struck a similar triumphant tone on June 18 in his speech on a sunlit day near Edmonton’s river valley.

He announced Alberta would end almost all COVID-19 health restrictions as of July 1 — in time for Alberta’s signature Calgary Stampede rodeo and festival.

It was the fastest reopening in Canada, but one Kenney said was justified by sufficient vaccination rates.

Kenney said his government wasn’t planning for a worst-case scenario and chided reporters and medical experts for suggesting it could even happen. His party sold it as “the Best Summer Ever” and marketed hats trumpeting the feel-good slogan.

Click to play video: 'Hinshaw says Alberta’s ‘Open For Summer’ plan was premature, led to spike in COVID-19 cases' Hinshaw says Alberta’s ‘Open For Summer’ plan was premature, led to spike in COVID-19 cases

Hinshaw says Alberta’s ‘Open For Summer’ plan was premature, led to spike in COVID-19 cases – Sep 14, 2021

COVID-19 didn’t get the memo.

The government then failed to act as cases spiralled in August and didn’t change course until September. Deaths mounted, officials scrambled to double the intensive care unit capacity, army medics were called in and 15,000 reported surgeries across the province, including cancer operations, were delayed.

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Read more: Alberta’s 4th wave of COVID-19 mirrors the beginning of previous 2 spikes: Expert

Kenney introduced a form of vaccine passport and other restrictions that boosted vaccinations and reduced hospital cases. It seemed to help pull the system back from the brink.

The premier took responsibility, saying “the buck stops with me.”

Click to play video: 'Premier Jason Kenney defends ‘Open for Summer’ relaunch plan' Premier Jason Kenney defends ‘Open for Summer’ relaunch plan

Premier Jason Kenney defends ‘Open for Summer’ relaunch plan – May 27, 2021

But the mea culpa had asterisks: other provinces had problems, too; he didn’t act sooner because he wasn’t sure COVID-19 weary-Albertans would follow the rules; he would have acted sooner, but he was waiting for Dr. Deena Hinshaw, the chief medical officer of health, to propose changes.

COVID-19 conflicts and controversies sent Kenney’s popularity numbers plunging and opened deep and, at times, public rifts within his caucus and party.

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Read more: Backbencher delivers blunt warning to Kenney about ignoring UCP members’ concerns

Critics said Kenney was late to impose health rules for the last three waves, endangering health-system capacity, because he feared alienating anti-vaccination elements in his party.

Kenney tried to contain the internal strife. Dissidents Todd Loewen and Drew Barnes were voted out of caucus. Cabinet minister Leela Aheer became an ex-cabinet minister.

Click to play video: 'UCP holds annual general meeting as Kenney faces questions about leadership' UCP holds annual general meeting as Kenney faces questions about leadership

UCP holds annual general meeting as Kenney faces questions about leadership – Nov 19, 2021

Kenney, under pressure from cabinet and later by about two dozen constituency associations, agreed to move up a review of his leadership to a one-day vote April 9 in Red Deer from late 2022.

Read more: Kenney leadership to come under microscope in April as UCP sets one-day confidence vote

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Problems remain, starting with his former UCP leadership rival Brian Jean.

Jean, one of the party’s co-founders, won the nomination to represent Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche in an upcoming byelection. He’s running on a platform to end Kenney’s time as leader, saying Kenney’s top-down style and bungled decisions on COVID-19 can’t be redeemed and that the party needs a new leader if it hopes to win the 2023 election.

Click to play video: 'Brian Jean wins UCP nomination in Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche' Brian Jean wins UCP nomination in Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche

Brian Jean wins UCP nomination in Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche – Dec 13, 2021

“Kenney’s pinning everything on (oil and gas prices),” said political scientist Duane Bratt of Calgary’s Mount Royal University. “The other story of 2021, obviously, is COVID.

“At almost every step of the way, the government acts later than anybody else in the country and responds weaker than everybody else in the country, is defiant about what they’re doing, and then gradually reverses course. We’ll have to see what occurs in January if Omicron (variant of COVID-19) does become as serious as some believe.”

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